I won't get into whether affirmative action is something which should go away or not. But am interested in a discussion surrounding the impact of college admissions. Here's my best guess as to what happens:
You see it even from the first press release from Harvard. Roberts left a hole open in the majority opinion. He said that essays about racial hardship such as discrimination are perfectly fine so long as they are used to judge such things as leadership and resiliency as opposed to setting up a racial preference. Harvard noted that line in its press release. Colleges, especially the blue non-tech ones, are going to respond by widely dropping standardized testing. They'll rely on athletics, legacies, donors, school quotas, state quotas to hold down Asian numbers. Asian numbers will rise in response (mostly at the expense of noncompetitive minority applicants and white women) but won't reach the level proportionate to competitive applicants (Roberts declined to use a disparate impact test since conservatives hate that discrimination test). Essays will largely be a contest of oppression, to the extent they already aren't, about how so and so overcame their racial, economic, LGBTQ, disability or other obstacles. Minority applicants still have a boost, it's just that boost has been nerfed. So between two equally placed applicants (say an African American and Asian American with equivalent grades) the African American applicant will still have a distinct advantage, even if less competitive but still in the range of "qualified".
Winners:
Minority athletes
African American, Hispanic, Native American Minorities who are competitive or marginal in their academics
Asians who are SJWS, extroverted, athletes or have unique less popular majors
Legacy whites
Kids who don't test well on standardized tests
LGTBQ/Disabled
Losers:
Asians who are conservative, introverted, raised in strict families (leading to lower social scores) or forced by families to pursue certain majors like premed
White women
Kids who test well but don't do well on grades
Nonlegacies
White athletes
Non LGTBQ/NonDisabled
African American, Hispanice Native American Minorities who are not competitive in their academics
You see it even from the first press release from Harvard. Roberts left a hole open in the majority opinion. He said that essays about racial hardship such as discrimination are perfectly fine so long as they are used to judge such things as leadership and resiliency as opposed to setting up a racial preference. Harvard noted that line in its press release. Colleges, especially the blue non-tech ones, are going to respond by widely dropping standardized testing. They'll rely on athletics, legacies, donors, school quotas, state quotas to hold down Asian numbers. Asian numbers will rise in response (mostly at the expense of noncompetitive minority applicants and white women) but won't reach the level proportionate to competitive applicants (Roberts declined to use a disparate impact test since conservatives hate that discrimination test). Essays will largely be a contest of oppression, to the extent they already aren't, about how so and so overcame their racial, economic, LGBTQ, disability or other obstacles. Minority applicants still have a boost, it's just that boost has been nerfed. So between two equally placed applicants (say an African American and Asian American with equivalent grades) the African American applicant will still have a distinct advantage, even if less competitive but still in the range of "qualified".
Winners:
Minority athletes
African American, Hispanic, Native American Minorities who are competitive or marginal in their academics
Asians who are SJWS, extroverted, athletes or have unique less popular majors
Legacy whites
Kids who don't test well on standardized tests
LGTBQ/Disabled
Losers:
Asians who are conservative, introverted, raised in strict families (leading to lower social scores) or forced by families to pursue certain majors like premed
White women
Kids who test well but don't do well on grades
Nonlegacies
White athletes
Non LGTBQ/NonDisabled
African American, Hispanice Native American Minorities who are not competitive in their academics