2006 DA

Here's predicts for this weekend. included last weekend's results but most of the data and trends are from last season, i.e. likely to be wrong but will be interesting to see which teams improved/decline relatively to how they did last year.

at first glance, it doesn't look like there has been the same kind of roster churn w/ the 06s that the 05s saw this season (~40% churn at u15) but there are some important exceptions.

it looks like TFA picked up most of LAFC's back line. D was TFA's biggest weak spot last year, particularly after the drama they went thru mid-season, so this could be big (but w/ the limited info available, it's difficult to tell). more on that match-up in a separate thread.

Home team, as always, is listed first:

San Diego:
Arsenal 2 vs Murrieta Surf 2
OC Surf 0 vs Strikers 3
Nomads 1 vs LAGSD 1 (edge: Nomads)
San Diego SC 1 vs Albion 2

Los Angeles:
LA Galaxy 4 vs LA Surf 1
LAFC 1 vs TFA 3 (see separate thread - http://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/...kend-9-7-19-predictions-and-discussion.17898/)
LAUFA 0 vs Pateadores 3
Legends 3 vs Ventura County Fusion 3 (edge: Legends)
Santa Barbara SC 2 vs Real SoCal 2 (edge: Santa Barbara SC)



 
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US training camp on the 17th for the 2006 age group.
11 from LAFC
7 from LAG ( surprising consider how bad this team did last season)
5 FC Golden State
2 Santa Barbara
And strikers
 
Here actuals vs predicts from last weekend (9/7/19)

San Diego:
predict: Arsenal 2 vs Murrieta Surf 2. Actuals: Arsenal 2 vs Murrieta Surf 2

predict: OC Surf 0 vs Strikers 3. Actuals: OC Surf 0 vs Strikers 4

predict: Nomads 1 vs LAGSD 1 (edge: Nomads) Actuals: Nomads 3 vs LAGSD 1

per the game report, Nomads started strong with two quick ones in the first ten minutes. Any additional commentary?

predict: San Diego SC 1 vs Albion 2. Actuals: San Diego SC 1 vs Albion 4.
JL had all four goals (three in 1h) for Albion and it looks he will be a tough match-up to defend across the board this season. JL average .77 goals per game last year.

Los Angeles:
predict: LA Galaxy 4 vs LA Surf 1. Actuals: LA Galaxy 5 vs LA Surf 3
Seems like a fun match to watch. per game report, LA Surf was up 3-1 at half but LAG came back w/ PR scoring a hat trick in the 2h. PR is new to LAG from the Strikers (and looks like a very tough match-up) and averaged 1.1 goals per game last season. Any other commentary?

predict: LAFC 1 vs TFA 3. Actuals: LAFC 3 vs TFA 4

And it's on... Sounds like an awesome match btw the two best teams in the country. per the game report, TFA was down 0-3 but popped one in right before half to make it 1-3, and then came back to win it it in the second half.

go here for some outstanding game commentary from folks who at the match - http://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/...kend-9-7-19-predictions-and-discussion.17898/


predict: LAUFA 0 vs Pateadores 3. Actuals: Pending - does anyone have results here?

predict: Legends 3 vs Ventura County Fusion 3. Actuals: Legends 3 vs Ventura County Fusion 6

Was 3-1 Fusion at half. Legends put in more fight in 2h but score still ended 6-3 Fusion. Good on the Fusion for a solid win after getting welcomed to 06 DA 1-10 by TFA last week. Any additional commentary available?

predict: Santa Barbara SC 2 vs Real SoCal 2. Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 1 vs Real SoCal 3

per the game report, Santa Barbara went down a man at the 6th minute after an ill-considered DGF red card (typically, a DGF is a deliberate hand ball to stop a goal). TR (back from LAFC) had two goals for RSC, but they were ZS, a key forward who averaged .5 goals last season. looking forward, TR and ZS will be handful for teams to defend. Any other commentary on this one?
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Santa Barbara V RSC, first of all SB lost lots of good players to TFA Lompoc and some were moved to their csl 06 team. RSC had so many chances match could of easily end 4:1 or 5:1. ZS will be back for next game and CC will debut against LA Surf, TR is back to his neighborhood club after one season spell with LAFC. My understanding of pk was tackle from behind of SB’s last defender when rsc forward had a clear goal scoring chance, hence the red card.
 
US training camp on the 17th for the 2006 age group.
11 from LAFC
7 from LAG ( surprising consider how bad this team did last season)
5 FC Golden State
2 Santa Barbara
And strikers
What a joke, so more LA Galaxy and FCGS players than TFA and LAFC bench players over TFA starters. Thank goodness it isn't a political thing. US Soccer needs to stop running on the typical American Jock recruiting mind set and start focusing on those with soccer smarts and vision along with athleticism.
 
Here actuals vs predicts from last weekend (9/7/19)
Los Angeles:
predict: LA Galaxy 4 vs LA Surf 1. Actuals: LA Galaxy 5 vs LA Surf 3
Seems like a fun match to watch. per game report, LA Surf was up 3-1 at half but LAG came back w/ PR scoring a hat trick in the 2h. PR is new to LAG from the Strikers (and looks like a very tough match-up) and averaged 1.1 goals per game last season. Any other commentary?

Surf surprised Galaxy by scoring three goals in the 1st half, Surf is not a bad team at all. Surf CB fouled a player and NS scored on a free kick which put Galaxy on the score map. I felt the level of play was equal on both sides of the field, Surf lacks a little bit of strength in the middle and right side.. Galaxy was flat most of the game until PR was able to come in to be a game changer, he will be a player to watch this season.
Exciting good game , as the DA likes to say "meaningful match"...
 
Here's predicts for this weekend (9/14/19). Home teams listed first. Am still dialing in the accuracy leveraging last season's results. Thanks for the patience with the this experiment.

Los Angeles
Legends 1 vs TFA 9
LAFC 2 vs Pateadores 1 - match to watch note: Pats were pretty strong last year and the result against Santa Barbara looks like they're continuing that trend. Will be a good test for both teams
Ventura Fusion 4 vs LAUFA 2
FC Golden State 4 vs Santa Barbara 1
Real So Cal 2 vs LA Surf 3 - match to watch
note: both teams are solidly in the LA tier 2 (which is not a backhanded compliment when the LA group includes LAFC and TFA). Be interesting to see how they do against each other.

San Diego
Albion 4 vs Arsenal 2
Strikers 3 vs San Diego Surf 2 - match to watch
LAGSD 2 vs San Diego SC 0
Murrieta Surf 0 vs Nomads 0
note: the algo is not showing the Nomads any love despite their win last weekend. hopefully they continue the trend and show the algo who's boss...




re: LAUFA - we've had some recent departures, including our top three scorers. Most recently we lost our top striker to TFA. A few 07's have been playing up. Will likely have several 07's this weekend in order to field a full team.
size_five, got it. thx for the heads-up and best of luck this weekend. how was the match against the Pats last weekend?
 
Here's predicts for this weekend (9/14/19). Home teams listed first. Am still dialing in the accuracy leveraging last season's results. Thanks for the patience with the this experiment.

Los Angeles
Legends 1 vs TFA 9
LAFC 2 vs Pateadores 1 - match to watch note: Pats were pretty strong last year and the result against Santa Barbara looks like they're continuing that trend. Will be a good test for both teams
Ventura Fusion 4 vs LAUFA 2
FC Golden State 4 vs Santa Barbara 1
Real So Cal 2 vs LA Surf 3 - match to watch
note: both teams are solidly in the LA tier 2 (which is not a backhanded compliment when the LA group includes LAFC and TFA). Be interesting to see how they do against each other.

San Diego
Albion 4 vs Arsenal 2
Strikers 3 vs San Diego Surf 2 - match to watch
LAGSD 2 vs San Diego SC 0
Murrieta Surf 0 vs Nomads 0
note: the algo is not showing the Nomads any love despite their win last weekend. hopefully they continue the trend and show the algo who's boss...





size_five, got it. thx for the heads-up and best of luck this weekend. how was the match against the Pats last weekend?


RSC beat LA Surf 3:0, TR two goals.
 
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