2006 DA

Season is starting back up with the northern rivalry (insert GoT reference here...)

Ventura Fusion is playing Real SoCal for northern bragging rights. Last time these teams met, it was 0-0 at ht but Ventura collapsed in the second half, giving up four goals for the 4-1 RSC win.

Looking forward, there has been some improvement with Ventura's defensive side, which the algo is saying will make this a closer match than last time around.

However, it looks like the improvement may have come as a result of Ventura whittling their player roster down. For example, although 15 '06 Ventura players are rostered on the USSDA site, only 11 06s and one 05 were rostered in the game report for Ventura's last three matches.

And, given 1) Ventura's 2nd half collapse last match, 2) RSC's 19 player roster and 3) the winter break, this weekend has the trappings of being a 2h collapse repeat of last match for Ventura.

Ventura has big dependency on #8 SO and, to a lesser extent, #16 JA for goal scoring, with the two players accounting for more than 50% of Ventura's goal scored to date.

On the Real SoCal side, after a solid start with two decent wins, the season has been a story "almost but not quite" for RSC. In particular, their defense has shown some holes in some key games.

For example, after going up 2-0 against LAFC, RSC then proceeded to painfully go 0-8 for the last 55 minutes of the match. More recently, RSC couldn't contain LAUFA, unable to adequately check LAUFA's offense for 3-4 loss.

Keys to beating RSC are to contain #36 who has accounted for more than 50% of RSC's total goals scored.

yeah, yeah, yeah. the commentary is nice, blah blah blah, but what does the algo say?

Real SoCal 3 vs Ventura Fusion 2
 
here's the predict vs actuals for the one match this last weekend.

predict: Real SoCal 3 vs Ventura Fusion 2 / actuals: Real SoCal 5 vs Ventura Fusion 1

note: per DM reports, it was pretty one-sided with RSC getting started fast, Ventura getting their heads down, and that was that.

per the game report, TR scored two for RSC at the 23rd and 29th minutes for the game's first goals, and CL got one more for RSC at the 33rd minute to make it 3-0 for RSC at halftime.

Ventura got one back in the 2h at the 58th minute to make it 3-1 but RSC returned fire immediately w/ a goal at the 59th minute to make it 4-1 and then finished it off w/ another goal at the 67th minute for the 5-1 win. per DM reports,

Ventura included two 07s, three PT players and one 05 on their game roster.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (1/25/20). home team is listed first. the TFA vs LAFC match will be its own thread.

Los Angeles
LAUFA 2 - LA Surf 0
Real SoCal 1 - FC Golden State 2 - match to watch
note: FCG has one of the better Ds in the country but can have challenges scoring. FCG doesn't appear to have that one dominant offensive player but have had 11 players score at least one goal this year, which implies decent ball movement that's harder to defend. will see...

RSC's TR is a handful with 13 goals in the last 14 matches but he also accounts for more than 50% of RSC's goals (albeit w/ seven other players having score done goal), so the playbook to stop RSC is fairly straightforward but not necessarily a slam dunk. And when RSC starts to get stifled offensively, they can get frustrated, overextend themselves forward and become open to the counter (see the 3-4 loss to LAUFA)

Should be a fun one to watch. Last time these teams played it was a 1-1 tie.


Santa Barbara SC 1 - Pateadores 1

San Diego
San Diego Surf 5 - LAGSD 1
Albion 4 - Nomads 0
Orange County Surf 2 - Arsenal 1
Murrieta Surf 1 - Strikers 3
 
0-0 at half.
TFA scored in first minutes of second (maybe 50th minute?) Played short off right corner, then cross to far post headed in front of goal and headed again past keeper. 1-0. In maybe 35 or 36th minute of second half LAFC had free kick just outside box. 23 ME beats keeper but ref had blown whistle right before his strike. So the goal is called off. ME retakes kick and hooks it off inside of left post to make it 1-1. (Ref had thought TFA 22 had gotten 2nd yellow and had sent him off, but it was first yellow so called him back on).
Then by my watch (maybe someone can confirm???) the ref let them play a 45 minute second half (instead of 40).... in 43rd minute TFA DBA #9 heads a cross past keeper for 2-1 victory.
If I’m correct about the time it was quite a ref sh**show for last 10 minutes. Unfortunate in such a high level game.
 
0-0 at half.
TFA scored in first minutes of second (maybe 50th minute?) Played short off right corner, then cross to far post headed in front of goal and headed again past keeper. 1-0. In maybe 35 or 36th minute of second half LAFC had free kick just outside box. 23 ME beats keeper but ref had blown whistle right before his strike. So the goal is called off. ME retakes kick and hooks it off inside of left post to make it 1-1. (Ref had thought TFA 22 had gotten 2nd yellow and had sent him off, but it was first yellow so called him back on).
Then by my watch (maybe someone can confirm???) the ref let them play a 45 minute second half (instead of 40).... in 43rd minute TFA DBA #9 heads a cross past keeper for 2-1 victory.
If I’m correct about the time it was quite a ref sh**show for last 10 minutes. Unfortunate in such a high level game.
It was a ref s**tshow from the 5th minute on after issuing the yellow to TFA'S #11 on. The fiasco with the mistaken red added there time, and rightfully so...
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (1/25/20). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: TFA 2 vs LAFC 1 / actuals: TFA 2 vs LAFC 1 (because that's how the algo rolls...)
note: per game report, looks like the match lived up to its billing. AM got TFA on the board first, with a goal just before half at the 37th minute. Lots of back and forth then in the second half with LAFC tying it very late and then DBA getting the game winner at the very end. Six yellow cards total (4 for TFA and 2 for LAFC) and a late mistake by the ref with a mistaken Red card that was rescinded. Thanks to SLB3 and Legit_Play for commentary (see below):

"0-0 at half.TFA scored in first minutes of second (maybe 50th minute?) Played short off right corner, then cross to far post headed in front of goal and headed again past keeper. 1-0. In maybe 35 or 36th minute of second half LAFC had free kick just outside box. 23 ME beats keeper but ref had blown whistle right before his strike. So the goal is called off. ME retakes kick and hooks it off inside of left post to make it 1-1. (Ref had thought TFA 22 had gotten 2nd yellow and had sent him off, but it was first yellow so called him back on). Then by my watch (maybe someone can confirm???) the ref let them play a 45 minute second half (instead of 40).... in 43rd minute TFA DBA #9 heads a cross past keeper for 2-1 victory.If I’m correct about the time it was quite a ref sh**show for last 10 minutes. Unfortunate in such a high level game." - SLB3


"It was a ref s**t show from the 5th minute on after issuing the yellow to TFA'S #11 on. The fiasco with the mistaken red added there time, and rightfully so..." - Legit_Play

anyone have more commentary or insight, either via this post or dm?

predict: LAUFA 2 - LA Surf 0 / actuals: pending
note: does anyone have the score for this match?

predict: Real SoCal 1 - FC Golden State 2 / actuals: Real SoCal 0 - FC Golden State 1
note: per the game report, FCG got one at the 23rd minute. per DM reports, sounds like it was a physical match but the refs let them play. Also, it sounds like RSC - with TR reportedly logging significant time at the 6 in this match - may be a little stuck w/ a big offensive dependency on TR, and then not many other goal scoring solutions after him.

predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Pateadores 1 / actuals: rescheduled (to Feb 24th?)

San Diego
predict: San Diego Surf 5 - LAGSD 1 / actuals: San Diego Surf 6 - LAGSD 1
note: per game report, dominant win by SD Surf with the score being 4-0 SD Surf within the first 15 minutes of the match. ES and DO both went for doubles. LAGSD got one back at the very end of the match.

predict: Albion 4 - Nomads 0 / actuals: pending
does anyone have the score on this match?

predict: Orange County Surf 2 - Arsenal 1 / actuals: Orange County Surf 2 - Arsenal 2
note: per game report, looks like this may have been a fun match to watch. OC Surf went up 1-0 early with a goal at the 12th minute, but Arsenal tied it with a goal at the 30th minute to go into half time 1-1. In the second half, Arsenal went up 2-1 scoring their second about 15 minutes into the second half. OC Surf tied it back up again at the 63rd minute for the 2-2 final score. Arsenal had a pair of yellows.

anyone have more commentary or insight, either via this post or dm?


predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - Strikers 3 / actuals: Murrieta Surf 1 - Strikers 6
note: this one got a little away from Murrieta early. per game report, Strikers were up 4-0, with three of those scored in the first 20 minutes of the match. JK went for a double for the Strikers. Murrieta got one back at the 56th minute.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (1/25/20). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: TFA 2 vs LAFC 1 / actuals: TFA 2 vs LAFC 1 (because that's how the algo rolls...)
note: per game report, looks like the match lived up to its billing. AM got TFA on the board first, with a goal just before half at the 37th minute. Lots of back and forth then in the second half with LAFC tying it very late and then DBA getting the game winner at the very end. Six yellow cards total (4 for TFA and 2 for LAFC) and a late mistake by the ref with a mistaken Red card that was rescinded. Thanks to SLB3 and Legit_Play for commentary (see below):

"0-0 at half.TFA scored in first minutes of second (maybe 50th minute?) Played short off right corner, then cross to far post headed in front of goal and headed again past keeper. 1-0. In maybe 35 or 36th minute of second half LAFC had free kick just outside box. 23 ME beats keeper but ref had blown whistle right before his strike. So the goal is called off. ME retakes kick and hooks it off inside of left post to make it 1-1. (Ref had thought TFA 22 had gotten 2nd yellow and had sent him off, but it was first yellow so called him back on). Then by my watch (maybe someone can confirm???) the ref let them play a 45 minute second half (instead of 40).... in 43rd minute TFA DBA #9 heads a cross past keeper for 2-1 victory.If I’m correct about the time it was quite a ref sh**show for last 10 minutes. Unfortunate in such a high level game." - SLB3


"It was a ref s**t show from the 5th minute on after issuing the yellow to TFA'S #11 on. The fiasco with the mistaken red added there time, and rightfully so..." - Legit_Play

anyone have more commentary or insight, either via this post or dm?

predict: LAUFA 2 - LA Surf 0 / actuals: pending
note: does anyone have the score for this match?

predict: Real SoCal 1 - FC Golden State 2 / actuals: Real SoCal 0 - FC Golden State 1
note: per the game report, FCG got one at the 23rd minute. per DM reports, sounds like it was a physical match but the refs let them play. Also, it sounds like RSC - with TR reportedly logging significant time at the 6 in this match - may be a little stuck w/ a big offensive dependency on TR, and then not many other goal scoring solutions after him.

predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Pateadores 1 / actuals: rescheduled (to Feb 24th?)

San Diego
predict: San Diego Surf 5 - LAGSD 1 / actuals: San Diego Surf 6 - LAGSD 1
note: per game report, dominant win by SD Surf with the score being 4-0 SD Surf within the first 15 minutes of the match. ES and DO both went for doubles. LAGSD got one back at the very end of the match.

predict: Albion 4 - Nomads 0 / actuals: pending
does anyone have the score on this match?

predict: Orange County Surf 2 - Arsenal 1 / actuals: Orange County Surf 2 - Arsenal 2
note: per game report, looks like this may have been a fun match to watch. OC Surf went up 1-0 early with a goal at the 12th minute, but Arsenal tied it with a goal at the 30th minute to go into half time 1-1. In the second half, Arsenal went up 2-1 scoring their second about 15 minutes into the second half. OC Surf tied it back up again at the 63rd minute for the 2-2 final score. Arsenal had a pair of yellows.

anyone have more commentary or insight, either via this post or dm?


predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - Strikers 3 / actuals: Murrieta Surf 1 - Strikers 6
note: this one got a little away from Murrieta early. per game report, Strikers were up 4-0, with three of those scored in the first 20 minutes of the match. JK went for a double for the Strikers. Murrieta got one back at the 56th minute.
LA Surf 1 LAUFA 1.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/1/20). home team listed first.

Los Angeles
LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 1
LA Galaxy 1 - TFA 1 - match to watch
LAFC 4 - LAUFA 1
Pateadores 1 - Legends 1
Santa Barbara SC 1 Ventura 1 -
match to watch

San Diego
Strikers 2 - Albion 1
Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego SC 1
SC del Sol 0 - San Diego Surf 1 - match to watch
Murrieta Surf 3 - LAGSD 3 - match to watch
Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego Surf 2 - match to watch
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (2/1/20). home team listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 1 / actuals: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 4
predict: LA Galaxy 1 - TFA 1 / actuals: LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1
note: game report is still pending but heard from two different sources that this one was 2-1 LAG. TFA had a crazy unbeaten run but everything ends. a bit more parity is good for the group. be interesting to see how TFA's match next week against Santa Barbara goes.

predict: LAFC 4 - LAUFA 1 / actuals: pending
predict: Pateadores 1 - Legends 1 / actuals: Pateadores 2 - Legends 1
predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Ventura 1 / actuals: Santa Barbara SC 4 - Ventura 5

San Diego

predict: Strikers 2 - Albion 1 / actuals: Strikers 4 - Albion 0
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego SC 1 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 4 - San Diego SC 0
predict: SC del Sol 0 - San Diego Surf 1 / actuals: SC del Sol 1 - San Diego Surf 4
predict: Murrieta Surf 3 - LAGSD 3 / actuals: pending
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego Surf 2 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 0 - San Diego Surf 0
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (2/1/20). home team listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 1 / actuals: LA Surf 0 - FC Golden State 4
predict: LA Galaxy 1 - TFA 1 / actuals: LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1
note: game report is still pending but heard from two different sources that this one was 2-1 LAG. TFA had a crazy unbeaten run but everything ends. a bit more parity is good for the group. be interesting to see how TFA's match next week against Santa Barbara goes.

predict: LAFC 4 - LAUFA 1 / actuals: pending
predict: Pateadores 1 - Legends 1 / actuals: Pateadores 2 - Legends 1
predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Ventura 1 / actuals: Santa Barbara SC 4 - Ventura 5

San Diego

predict: Strikers 2 - Albion 1 / actuals: Strikers 4 - Albion 0
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego SC 1 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 4 - San Diego SC 0
predict: SC del Sol 0 - San Diego Surf 1 / actuals: SC del Sol 1 - San Diego Surf 4
predict: Murrieta Surf 3 - LAGSD 3 / actuals: pending
predict: Real Salt Lake 2 - San Diego Surf 2 / actuals: Real Salt Lake 0 - San Diego Surf 0


Speaking of the Galaxy vs TFA match....how is the new Galaxy coach doing with the 06s?
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/8/20). home team is listed first.

San Diego
Arsenal 1 - Albion 3
LAGSD 0 - Strikers 5 - (come on guys, play the kids!)
Murrieta Surf 1 - San Diego Surf 5 - (come on guys, play the kids!)
San Diego SC 2 - OC Surf 1

Los Angeles
FC Golden State 3 - Ventura Fusion 0
LA Surf 0 - Pateadores 1
Legends 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1
LAFC - 1 - LA Galaxy 1 - match to watch
note: usually would put together a separate thread on this one but have a couple of irons in the fire these days, so, here's the short version:

LA Galaxy beat TFA 2-1 last weekend, ending a streak of some 40+unbeaten matches for the TFA 06s. LAG has settled into a top of line offense and defense over the course of the season. There have been occasional blips - eg, the 0-1 loss to the Legends - but in general LAG has been fairly consistent.

On the other hand, LAFC, aside from a handful of strong performances, is good but not the typical LAFC great on offense. Defensively, would put LAFC at very good but again not the typical LAFC great.

Keys to the match:
LAG has had 12 players score this year with five of those players scoring more than five goals. Typically, these kind of numbers mean that a team has solid control in the mid with lots of good ball and player movement i.e. hard to defend. Establishing control over the middle 1/3 will be key for LAFC.

On the flip side, LAFC has had ten players core but depend on two of those players - ZF and GG - for about 50% of their goal total. Shutting down those players will be critical for LAG.

Overall should be a fun match to watch and there should be some good soccer. Last match went 2-1 in LAFC's favor.


Real SoCal 2 - LAUFA 2
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (2/8/20). home team is listed first.

San Diego
predict: Arsenal 1 - Albion 3 / actuals: Arsenal 3 - Albion 3
note: per game report, Albion was out to 3-1 lead at ht, but a frisky Arsenal (three cards in the 2h) came back to tie it up at the buzzer.

predict: LAGSD 0 - Strikers 5 / actuals: LAGSD 1 - Strikers 1
note: per game report, Strikers rostered four 07s for the match (nicely done), and OC Surf rostered two 05s and one 07. OC Surf got on the board first w/ a goal at the 30th minute but Strikers tied it up at the 64th minute. Couple of cards. Looks like a solid match.

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - San Diego Surf 5 / actuals: Murrieta Surf 0 - San Diego Surf 1
note: looks like Murrieta put up a solid match against a mostly full strength SD Surf. well done!

predict: San Diego SC 2 - OC Surf 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

Los Angeles
predict: FC Golden State 3 - Ventura Fusion 0 / actuals: FC Golden State 4 - Ventura Fusion 3
predict: LA Surf 0 - Pateadores 1 / LA Surf 1 - Pateadores 3
predict: Legends 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1 / actuals: Legends 2 - Santa Barbara SC 2
predict: LAFC - 1 - LA Galaxy 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?
predict: Real SoCal 2 - LAUFA 2 / actuals: Real SoCal 0 - LAUFA 3
note: good win for LAUFA. RSC was missing TR and ZS. TR was likely w/ the 05s.
 
Golden state vs fusion. Good game fusion owned the first half with high press. Golden state looked out of sync especially the back line. Down 3-0 at the end of the half, golden state turn the game around with high pressure and persistent attack. To give them a 4-3 lead. Very open game was fun to watch. Each team got a red card which I thought was weak. But oh well.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (2/8/20). home team is listed first.

San Diego
predict: Arsenal 1 - Albion 3 / actuals: Arsenal 3 - Albion 3
note: per game report, Albion was out to 3-1 lead at ht, but a frisky Arsenal (three cards in the 2h) came back to tie it up at the buzzer.

predict: LAGSD 0 - Strikers 5 / actuals: LAGSD 1 - Strikers 1
note: per game report, Strikers rostered four 07s for the match (nicely done), and OC Surf rostered two 05s and one 07. OC Surf got on the board first w/ a goal at the 30th minute but Strikers tied it up at the 64th minute. Couple of cards. Looks like a solid match.

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - San Diego Surf 5 / actuals: Murrieta Surf 0 - San Diego Surf 1
note: looks like Murrieta put up a solid match against a mostly full strength SD Surf. well done!

predict: San Diego SC 2 - OC Surf 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

Los Angeles
predict: FC Golden State 3 - Ventura Fusion 0 / actuals: FC Golden State 4 - Ventura Fusion 3
predict: LA Surf 0 - Pateadores 1 / LA Surf 1 - Pateadores 3
predict: Legends 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1 / actuals: Legends 2 - Santa Barbara SC 2
predict: LAFC - 1 - LA Galaxy 1 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?
predict: Real SoCal 2 - LAUFA 2 / actuals: Real SoCal 0 - LAUFA 3
note: good win for LAUFA. RSC was missing TR and ZS. TR was likely w/ the 05s.

La galaxy wins 3-2 lafc: Very close and aggressive game between two very good teams. Three first half goals by LA galaxy by PR, TE and SG. LAFC battled back for two goals.
 
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