2006 DA

here's predicts for this weekend (2/15 - the day after Valentine's Day - this public service reminder brought to you by The Algo). home team is listed first.

San Diego
Nomads 1 - Albion 3

Los Angeles
LA Surf 0 - LAFC 3
Real SoCal 2 - Pateadores 2
LA Surf 0 - Legends 1
 
here's predicts vs actual for this last weekend (2/15):

San Diego
predict: Nomads 1 - Albion 3 actuals: Nomads 3 - Albion 4
note: per game report, looks like Nomads made it a game, and had it tied until the last very last minute when CD put one in for Albion for the win.

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 0 - LAFC 3 actuals: LA Surf 1 - LAFC 3

predict: Real SoCal 2 - Pateadores 2 actuals: Real SoCal 3 - Pateadores 2
note: per game report, TR was back w/ the u14s (no u15 match this weekend) and had two for RSC. also ZS was again not rostered. One of RSC's leading scorers last year, rumors have ZS looking at heading to drier climates next season. any addt'l info on this, either here or via dm?

predict: LA Surf 0 - Legends 1 actuals: LA Surf 2 - Legends 1
note: nice win for LA Surf, with a 2-0 lead at ht and then a solid 2nd half for the 2-1 win.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/22). Home team is listed first.

San Diego
San Diego Surf 5 - Albion 1 (hey Surf, play the kids!)

Los Angeles
LA Surf 1 - Real SoCal 1
Ventura Fusion 2 - LAFC 5
Santa Barbara SC 1 - Pateadores 2
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (2/22). Home team is listed first. Several players were missing from most teams due to the West Regional u14 NDP camp and had a little bit of rain this weekend.

San Diego
predict: San Diego Surf 5 - Albion 1 actuals: rescheduled

Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 1 - Real SoCal 1 actuals: LA Surf 2 - Real SoCal 2

predict: Ventura Fusion 2 - LAFC 5 actuals: Ventura Fusion 0 - LAFC 10
note: LAFC rostered three 06s for the match, while Ventura rostered five 07s.

predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 - Pateadores 2 actuals: rescheduled
 
here's standings as of last weekend. highlighted best offensive teams (top 5 in socal and top 3 in group) and best defensive teams (same). SoCal standings are presented first and group standings are presented second.

Per results from the showcase, the LA u14 group is a bit stronger than the SD u14 group, with the LA teams collecting 10 wins, 7 draws and six losses vs SD teams with 28 goals scored by LA teams vs 19 goals allowed.

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some thoughts on the u14 standings.

1. Looking at team goal differential, there's a clear tiering for SoCal teams:

Tier I:
  • TFA
  • Strikers
  • RSL
  • SD Surf
  • LAFC
  • LAG
Tier II:
  • FCG
  • Pats
  • RSC
  • Albion
Tier III:
  • Murrieta
  • LAGSD
  • SDSC
  • Ventura
  • Arsenal
  • SC del Sol
  • Nomads
  • LAUFA
  • LA Surf
  • Legends
  • OC Surf
  • Santa Barbara
Of the Tier I and Tier II teams, every club has a DA path to u19 in place except TFA (assumes RSL-AZ + RSL -UT = path; this may be incorrect..).

So, would assume that TFA will get at least u17 for 2020-21.

Of the Tier III teams, SDSC and LAUFA probably have the most potential for additional age groups. Currently, SDSC only goes thru u14 and LAUFA tops out at u15. USSDA objections to offering additional age groups for these clubs are probably 1) market saturation 2) historical club administrative challenges.

After that, am stumped on who has a legit case this year for adding additional age groups (although have heard via DM that several clubs feel like they're good to go adding at least u15 in the Fall.)

Thought/comments? These decisions are being talked about now at USSDA.
 
here's standings as of last weekend. highlighted best offensive teams (top 5 in socal and top 3 in group) and best defensive teams (same). SoCal standings are presented first and group standings are presented second.

Per results from the showcase, the LA u14 group is a bit stronger than the SD u14 group, with the LA teams collecting 10 wins, 7 draws and six losses vs SD teams with 28 goals scored by LA teams vs 19 goals allowed.

View attachment 6503

I have to say it is very puzzling that some of the top SoCal Teams with the most favorable stats, did not have players picked for the recent U-14 Boy's National Team tryouts in Chula Vista last weekend. Most of the players picked are from MLS Clubs (even some back up players)….I get it that these teams have talented players, however, should most of the positions be picked from teams just because they are sponsored from a MLS Club? It is a shame to see USA Soccer making political decisions like this rather than strictly by talent only.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (2/29). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
Pateadores 1 - FC Golden State 3
Legends 0 - LAFC 5 - play the kids!
LAUFA 1 - LA Galaxy 4
Santa Barbara SC 0 - TFA 3

San Diego
Real Salt Lake 5 - Albion 1 - play the kids!
San Diego Surf 2 - OC Surf 1
SC del Sol 2 - Nomads 1
Murrieta Surf 1 - SDSC 3
Real Salt Lake 6 - Nomads 0 - play the kids!
SC del Sol 2 - Albion 1 - match to watch
 
I have to say it is very puzzling that some of the top SoCal Teams with the most favorable stats, did not have players picked for the recent U-14 Boy's National Team tryouts in Chula Vista last weekend. Most of the players picked are from MLS Clubs (even some back up players)….I get it that these teams have talented players, however, should most of the positions be picked from teams just because they are sponsored from a MLS Club? It is a shame to see USA Soccer making political decisions like this rather than strictly by talent only.
SD Surf had 4 boys attend the National Team tryouts in Chula Vista
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (2/29). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
predict: Pateadores 1 - FC Golden State 3 actuals: Pateadores 1 - FC Golden State 2
predict: Legends 0 - LAFC 5 actuals: Legends 0 - LAFC 7
predict: LAUFA 1 - LA Galaxy 4 actuals: LAUFA 2 - LA Galaxy 6
predict: Santa Barbara SC 0 - TFA 3 actuals: Santa Barbara SC 1 - TFA 3

San Diego
predict: Real Salt Lake 5 - Albion 1 actuals: pending - anyone have the score here?
predict: San Diego Surf 2 - OC Surf 1 actuals: pending - anyone have the score here?
predict: SC del Sol 2 - Nomads 1 actuals: SC del Sol 4 - Nomads 0

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - SDSC 3 actuals: Murrieta Surf 2 - SDSC 0
note: good win by Murrieta here. per game report, looks like a good match. Tied 0-0 at ht. RL got a double for Murrieta in a ten minute window towards the end of the game for the win. any other comments or insight?

predict: Real Salt Lake 6 - Nomads 0 actuals: Real Salt Lake 5 - Nomads 2

predict: SC del Sol 2 - Albion 1 actuals: SC del Sol 2 - Albion 2
note: per game report, looks like a fun match to watch. SC del Sol went up late in the first half for 1-0 score at ht, and then put another on in early in the 2nd half for a 2-0 lead. But, Albion came back late to make it 1-2 at the 64th minute and, at the very end, then tied it 2-2 with a goal from EP, scoring his first goal of the season. any other commentary or insights? this one looks like it may have been a fun one to watch.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (3/7). home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
LA Surf 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1

LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1 - match to watch
note: LAG had seven players called up to the U14 camp. TFA had 3, despite being the TFA 06s being ranked as a at least a top 5 team since u12. Would think this one will be fierce. last match was 2-1 LAG and last week's 3-1 win over Santa Barbara doesn't bode well for TFA, but they've got something to prove, so we'll see. This is the one match to watch this weekend.

Pateadores 3 - Legends 2
FC Golden State 2 - LAUFA 1

San Diego
Murrieta Surf 1 SC del Sol 2
Strikers 2 - OC Surf 0
Arsenal 1 - Real Salt Lake 7 - play the kids!

SDSC 3 - LAGSD 1 - match to watch
note: after LAFC, statistically, LAGSD was the most over-represented club at the u14 camp. Get HBW, and taking him out of the math, LAGSD isn't as over-represented as bad but still, is interesting. AM for LAGSD has 14 goals in 18 games, so fair, but don't have addt'l context to compare across the whole West Region group. One big difference is that LAGSD goes up to u17 while SDSC only goes up to u14. Hmmm. DK...

So, went back and triple checked The Algo on this one, but the math is all correct.

LAGSD's key thing challenge is that they tend to give up a lot of goals. SDSC has some players and have put together some decent results including a 1-0 win over SC del Sol. Would think GE from SDSC might want to go out of his way to impress in the one and take advantage of that LAGSD trend, and SDSC's D might be especially to keep AM under control.

be interesting to watch this one and see what happens. last match was 3-3 tie.


Arsenal 1 - SC del Sol 3
Nomads 0 - San Diego Surf 7 - play the kids!
Murrieta Surf 1 - Real Salt Lake 3
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (3/7). home team is listed first. btw, today is National Clint Dempsey day. Here's a quick tribute:


Los Angeles
predict: LA Surf 1 - Santa Barbara SC 1 actuals: LA Surf 3 - Santa Barbara SC 1 (thx Alex Sorto!)

predict: LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1 actuals: LA Galaxy 2 - TFA 1
note: looks like ratio of players called up to u14 YNT camp was about right, so credit to LAG. per game report, match looks like it was tight/fun to watch. LAG went in the first half for 1-0 lead. in the 2h, TFA tied it at the 50th minute but LAG came back w/ one more the final 2-1 result. Good to see this kind of competition in SoCal.

predict: Pateadores 3 - Legends 2 actuals: Pateadores 2- Legends 2
predict: FC Golden State 2 - LAUFA 1 actuals: FC Golden State 2 - LAUFA 0

San Diego
predict: Murrieta Surf 1 SC del Sol 2 actuals: Murrieta Surf 4 SC del Sol 4
note: per game report, this match back and forth with a total of five goals scored in the first 25 minutes (defense is over-rated :)). Score at ht was 3-2 SC del SOl.

In 2h, Murrieta quickly tied it at 3-3 and then went ahead 4-3 a bit later with a goal in the goal at the 66ht minute. However, SC del Sol tied it at 4-4 at the 73rd minute. Looks like a fun match to watch - maybe some pretty good soccer - all the way around with eight different players getting goals.


predict: Strikers 2 - OC Surf 0 actuals: Strikers 3 - OC Surf 2
note: solid effort from OC Surf. per game report, Striker went early with goals at the 7th minute and 20th minute. But, rather than folding, OC Surf evened up with a double from RH at the 21st and 30th minutes for 2-2 at ht. But, alas, Strikers came back with a quick one for the 3-2 final results.

predict: Arsenal 1 - Real Salt Lake 7 actuals: Arsenal 0 - Real Salt Lake3
note: per game report, RSL did not play any 07s but looks like Arsenal did a decent job of beating The Algo in this match, keeping it within a reasonable margin.

predict: SDSC 3 - LAGSD 1 actuals: SDSC 4 - LAGSD 2
note: statistically, LAGSD was one of the most over-represented club at the u14 camp. Get HBW, and taking him out of the math, AM for LAGSD has 14 goals in 18 games, so fair, but don't have addt'l context to compare across the whole West Region group. One big difference is that LAGSD goes up to u17 while SDSC only goes up to u14. Hmmm. DK...

per game report, GE from SDSC went for a triple, (US Soccer, you listening? I think - as Ricky used to say - you have some explaining to do...). and SDSC's D kept AM quiet. Score as 2-1 at ht, with two from GE and a SDSC own goal. LAGSD tied it at 2-2 with a goal from NP, but SDSC/GE added another to go ahead 3-2 at the 59th minute. JV from SDSC added an insurance goal at the end for a 4-2 final result. Looks like a fun match to watch.


predict: Arsenal 1 - SC del Sol 3 actuals: Arsenal 1 - SC del Sol 3 actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here?

predict: Nomads 0 - San Diego Surf 7 actuals: Nomads 0 - San Diego Surf 5
note: no 07s were played by SD Surf and score was 5-0, SD Surf at ht. am sure a great time was had by all.

predict: Murrieta Surf 1 - Real Salt Lake 3 actuals: Murrieta Surf 1 - Real Salt Lake 3
 
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