2005 DA Standings

Good results for Ballistic so far. My guess at the end of the season the top 3 for NW will be Quakes, Sounders, and Sac Republic (in no particular order).
 
here's predicts vs actuals for last weekend (11/2). home teams are listed first and order is alpha by home team.

had to apologize to the algo this week. it called a couple of games pretty close that weren't initially passing the eyeball test. for example, "eg, Ballistic is not going to beat Vancouver." Well, Ballistic did beat Vancouver... so the math seems to be working reasonably well in some cases. There's some notable exceptions below.

SoCal
predict: Albion 2 - Real SoCal 1 / actuals: Albion 1 - Real SoCal 6
note: So Real SoCal just picked up a new player, JR, previously from LAFC. In 40 minutes in his first game w/ RSC, JR scored one goal.

Now, this may not seem like a big deal at face value, but JR, two years ago at u13, was one of the leading goal scorers in the country, averaging more than 2 goals per 70 minutes played for LAFC. Not sure what happened last year but there was a parting of the ways with LAFC going into the 2019-20 season.

RSC has a strong team defensively but has had issues with putting the ball in the back of the net, both last year and this year. JR may solve that. JR's one down side, defending high, will likely not be an issue w/ RSC. Maybe this is a big deal, maybe not. We'll see.

To be clear, in this match, RSC jumped on Albion early and were up 4-1 going into the second half when JR was subbed in, so the rest of the RSC team deserve most of the credit for the win.


predict: LAUFA 1 - Real Salt Lake 6 / actuals: LAUFA 0 - Real Salt Lake 2
note: would have thought RSL would have more here... any additional insights/commentary on this match?

predict: LAUFA 1 - Barca 5 / actuals: LAUFA 2 - Barca 6

predict: LAGSD 1 - Arsenal 0 / actuals: LAGSD 3 - Arsenal 0

predict: LA Galaxy 5 - Pateadores 2 / rescheduled

predict: Nomads 0 - LAFC 4 / actuals: pending - does anyone have the score here for this one?

predict: SD Surf 3 - FC Golden State 2 / actuals: SD Surf 2 - FC Golden State 1

predict: TFA 1 - Barca 2 / actuals: TFA 3 - Barca 2
note: nice win for TFA. per the game report, looks like TFA came out aggressive early and were up 3-1 at half. Barca got one back at the end for a 3-2 final result. any more commentary or insights on how this match went?

predict: TFA 1 - RSL 3 / actuals: TFA 0 - RSL 2

Non-SoCal

predict: Ballistic 3 - Crossfire 3 / actuals: Ballistic 1 - Crossfire 0
predict: Ballistic 2 - Vancouver 1 / actuals: Ballistic 1 - Vancouver 0
predict: Sacramento Republic 4 - Breakers 1 / actuals: Sacramento Republic 9 - Breakers 1
predict: San Jose Quakes 0 - Vancouver 2 / actuals: San Jose Quakes 2 - Vancouver 0
predict: San Jose Quakes 1 - Crossfire 3 / actuals: San Jose Quakes 1 - Crossfire 0
 
here's predicts for the coming weekend (11/9). Home team is listed, and order is alpha by home team.

SoCal
Arsenal 0 - Real SoCal 3
note: be interesting to see w/ RSC scoring 6 vs Albion, if they can keep the O going this weekend. Would assume JR will be given some more minutes this week to stretch his legs a bit.

Barca 5 - Albion 1

FC Golden State 4 - Nomads 4 - match to watch
note: FCG had a strong performance vs LAFC but seem to have dropped back down and bumping along their performance floor. on the flip side, Nomads, despite the 1-6 results vs LAFC, seem to pushing up against the performance ceiling. this match may indicate how the season will go for these two teams.

LAUFA 1 - San Diego Surf 3
LAFC 4 - Strikers 0
LAFC 3 - LAGSD 0
Pateadores 1 - LAGSD 4

Real Salt Lake 3 - LA Galaxy 1 - match to watch
note: LAG was interested in a couple of players who ended up w/ RSL (so some subtext to the match...), and LAG is still bumping along, trying to find their mojo in the 2019-20 season. Looking at the #'s, RSL should run this match but LAG has some untapped potential that, at some point, is going to surface (maybe...) Also, since JB has been back from his YNT call-up, RSL O seems to be less dynamic than while he was out. have to look up at the numbers to see if this is actually a thing, but it looks like it's a thing.


San Diego Surf 2 - Strikers 1 - match to watch
note: the last time these teams met last Spring, the score was a wild 6-4 result for the Strikers with no love lost between the two teams, and the Surf lost two player to red cards relatively early in the 2nd half. Since that match, the Strikers lost SR to LAFC and FJ to the OC Blues (but picked up WD from TFA as a new coach), and the Surf lost most of their starting line-up. having said that, SD Surf seems to have found their stride a bit this season w/ what sounds like solid play in the mid due to XG, maximizing TW up top and solid tactical guidance from the coaching staff. on the other hand, the Strikers are capable of solid performances, but aren't consistent. SD Surf has had the harder schedule, and their last two results vs LAG and FCG tip this match in their favor.

normally would call this one out as its own thread, given the rivalry. will see how the match goes and maybe next time.


Non SoCal (some good rivalry matches this weekend)
Breakers 1 - SVSA 8
Crossfire Premier 1 - Seattle Sounders 3 - match to watch
note: Crossfire, as a club, has been playing with a chip on their shoulder since their u19 team was relegated to the second tier by US Soccer, a decision most agree did not have to do w/ soccer. Also, Seattle is newly ranked as the #1 team in the country by TDS, and knocking the Sounders off that pedestal would be quite the feather in Crossfire's cap. But, with Seattle getting their three ynt players back, Crossfire may not have the guns to do it. Likely to be fun watching them try though... (for the socal folks, think LAFC vs LAG or SD Surf vs Strikers)

De Anza 2 - Sacramento Republic 2 - match to watch
note: Sac has been rolling the last couple of matches, but the overall trend lines btw the two teams - both the O and the D - are almost identical, so the algo disagrees. will be a fun one to watch and there's definitely lots of norcal bragging rights on the table.

San Jose Earthquakes 0 - Ballistic 1 - match to watch
note: Ballistic picked up results vs Vancouver and Crossfire last week. be interesting if they can keep it going against a Quakes team. Ballistic's calling card has been shut D with three shut-outs in their last four matches. Meanwhile, SJ, after putting up some colorful scores at the beginning of the season has come back to earth offensively and is trending the wrong direction. Having said that, Ballistic has had a mostly relatively softer schedule than SJ, so there's that. Net net, be a fun one to watch as well.
 
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here's predicts vs actuals for this last weekend (11/9). Home team is listed, and order is alpha by home team.

SoCal
predict: Arsenal 0 - Real SoCal 3 actuals: Arsenal 0 - Real SoCal 3

predict: Barca 5 - Albion 1 actuals: Barca 7 - Albion 0 (thx for the score justneedaname!)
here's commentary from match: "Albion's season is swirling the bowl. 17 ga in 3 games."

note: the quality of Albion's opponents has definitely stepped up the last three matches, with maybe only TFA being close to the last three teams Albion has faced. having said that, even adjusting for the quality of the opponents in the last three matches, Albion has taken a left turn.

here's how their defense has done this season so far:

1573577918456.png

here's how the Albion offense has done so far:


1573578107570.png

Looking at the two charts, best guess is that Albion might be trying to move some players up from D in the last 2-3 matches to help their chances of scoring, but that's only a guess.

Albion has some quality players and historically does much better than this on D, but this year, right now, looks like it will be tough and long... Any other commentary/insights?


predict: FC Golden State 4 - Nomads 4 actuals: FC Golden State 2 - Nomads 1
note: the algo had this as a tight (but more wide open) match. Looks like it was super tight match. AB for FCG (a new player to FCG this year who moved over from LAUFA) scored first at the 22nd minute for 1-0 FCG lead at ht. After half, it was tight until Nomads lost a player to a red at the 55th minute. But, Nomads rallied to tie at the 60th minute. AB got his second, though, at the 69th minute for the 2-1 FCG win. Look like a solid match, any other commentary/insights?

predict: LAUFA 1 - San Diego Surf 3 actuals: pending - anyone have the score here?

predict: LAFC 4 - Strikers 0 actuals: LAFC 4 - Strikers 0
note: because that how the algo rolls... SR had two in the second half against his old team (and is averaging more than one goal per game this season) as LAFC pulled away in the second half.

predict: LAFC 3 - LAGSD 0 actuals: pending - anyone have the score here?

predict: Pateadores 1 - LAGSD 4 actuals: Pateadores 3 - LAGSD 2
note: interesting result. per the game report, the first 20 minutes of this match were pretty wide open. LAGSD opened the scoring with #19 putting one in at th 8th minute. Pats came back quickly though, with a quick set of goals at the 14th and the 17th minutes to make it 2-1 Pats. LAGSD's #19 tied it 2-2 at the 23rd minute. Pats followed the second LAGSD goal with a yellow and played with some fire from that point forward, going ahead 3-2 at the 60th minute and then picking two more yellows at the 63rd and 67th minutes.

Pats have had a couple of good results the last two matches. hopefully they keep it up. LAGSD, with the teeth of the schedule coming up, have solid D but need to find an additional goal scoring solution to complement #19.

looks like a fun match to watch. any other commentary/insight?


predict: Real Salt Lake 3 - LA Galaxy 1 actuals: Real Salt Lake 3 - LA Galaxy 1 (thx for the score soccerdad79!)
note: JO is back for LAG and had their goal but it looks like RSL did, in fact, run this match. RSL scored at the 12th minute which put the score at 1-0 at ht. RSL scored again at the 45th minute to make it 2-0. JO got his goal at the 58th minute to bring LAG back a little bit to 2-1 but RSL got their last goal 3-1 to finish. LAG's MG had what looks like a frustration yellow at the 65the minute and then another frustration yellow in extra time for the red. looks like an interesting match.

any other commentary/insight?


predict: San Diego Surf 2 - Strikers 1 actuals: San Diego Surf 2 - Strikers 2 (thx chule for the score!)
note: note to self, make SD Surf vs Strikers its own thread... per all reports, the u13, u14 and u15 matches were super tight with SD Surf ahead in the aggregate 7-6 across those three age groups (u17 match report is pending..), not that anybody's keeping track...

per the game report, the u15 Strikers started with intensity and took advantage of an early lapse to make it 1-0 strikers at the 2nd minute. Strikers also had an early yellow at the 7th minute. But, SD Surf picked up their intensity as well with a yellow at the 21st minute and a goal to make it 1-1 at the 24th minute. In the 2nd half, SD Surf went ahead at the 70th minute but Strikers rallied back to tie w/ a PK (thanks Benjamin Gomez!) at the 80th minute for a final 2-2 result. looks like a fun match to watch.


any other commentary/insight?

Non SoCal (some good rivalry matches this weekend)
predict: Breakers 1 - SVSA 8 actuals: Breakers 0 - SVSA 4
predict: Crossfire Premier 1 - Seattle Sounders 3 actuals: Crossfire Premier 0 - Seattle Sounders 2 (thx husky13 for the score!)
here's commentary from husky13: "Kudos to the Crossfire team, by the way. They played a very spirited game, and their precise 1-touch connections through the midfield made this a very competitive game. The game wasn't decided until the clinching goal with 2 minutes left."

predict: De Anza 2 - Sacramento Republic 2 actuals: De Anza 2 - Sacramento Republic 3
note: Sac has been rolling the last couple of matches, and continued that roll early in the match going ahead 2-0 in the first half and then 3-0 at the 48th minute. To De Anza's credit, it looks like they did a guy check, and rallied back to make it 2-3 with De Anza's goal coming at the 54th and 63rd minutes. At this point , things got a little chippy. Sac had the first of six total (btw both teams) yellows at the 62nd minute, and their second at the 63rd minute. De Anza then had three yellows in three minutes at the 74th, 75th and 76th minutes, and Sac closed out the yellows with another yellow at the 79th minute.

It's a good thing these teams aren't competitive with each other...

sounds like a solid, spirited, fun match.
Any norcal folks on this forum who could provide more commentary/insight?

predict: San Jose Earthquakes 0 - Ballistic 1 actuals: San Jose Earthquakes 4 - Ballistic 0
note: both Ballistic - and the algo - came back to Earth a little bit this weekend.
 
HC back from injury for RSL. Played the full 80, had goal #2. Played every minute of the first 3 games this season before being out until this past weekend.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (11/16). home listed first.

SoCal
LAUFA 1 - Real SoCal 4
LAFC 8 - Albion 0
LA Galaxy 5 - Pateadores 2

Non-SoCal
Ballistic 2 - De Anza 1
Crossfire Premier 0 - SVSA 1
Crossfire Premier 1 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - SVSA 1
 
Usually would post something like this in the Soccer Nerd thread - https://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/going-full-soccer-academy-nerd.17391/page-2#post-297541 - but today is different. Today, the USMNT is playing Canada in the second leg of the Nations Cup. Coverage for the USMNT vs Canada starts at 4pm pst on ESPN2, Unimas and TUDN.

Why does it matter?

The stakes are high for the match this evening in a way they haven't been for the USMNT since last WC qualifying, and we all know how that went.

Because of new FIFA rules, Canada must win today to have a 100% shot at qualifying for the 2022 WC. Last match, they beat the US 2-0 with the best Canadian team - and best Canadian coach - in a generation. Worse, the US looked really bad in the loss, and most thought the 0-2 scoreline was generous to the US. If Canada draws, they have 50/50 shot at getting a chance to qualify for the WC and if they lose, there's only a small possibility.

On the flip side, after the 0-2 loss, the USMNT coach, Greg Berhalter - went on the public record as saying the second US v Canada match was a " must win." US Soccer GM Earnie Stewart this week walked that statement back a bit, saying one result would not determine the fate of Berhalter but...

For background, here's one the best articles on the current state of the USMNT is below. Here's the article - https://theathletic.com/1379646/2019/11/15/no-country-for-usmnt-fans/

(One point that is missed a bit - is that at the youth level - the window for the kids is small, and waiting out the US Soccer dysfunction, the way one might wait out a pro sports team's run of poor performance, is not really an option imo.)



View attachment 5638
 
Usually would post something like this in the Soccer Nerd thread - https://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/going-full-soccer-academy-nerd.17391/page-2#post-297541 - but today is different. Today, the USMNT is playing Canada in the second leg of the Nations Cup. Coverage for the USMNT vs Canada starts at 4pm pst on ESPN2, Unimas and TUDN.

Why does it matter?

The stakes are high for the match this evening in a way they haven't been for the USMNT since last WC qualifying, and we all know how that went.

Because of new FIFA rules, Canada must win today to have a 100% shot at qualifying for the 2022 WC. Last match, they beat the US 2-0 with the best Canadian team - and best Canadian coach - in a generation. Worse, the US looked really bad in the loss, and most thought the 0-2 scoreline was generous to the US. If Canada draws, they have 50/50 shot at getting a chance to qualify for the WC and if they lose, there's only a small possibility.

On the flip side, after the 0-2 loss, the USMNT coach, Greg Berhalter - went on the public record as saying the second US v Canada match was a " must win." US Soccer GM Earnie Stewart this week walked that statement back a bit, saying one result would not determine the fate of Berhalter but...

For background, here's one the best articles on the current state of the USMNT is below. Here's the article - https://theathletic.com/1379646/2019/11/15/no-country-for-usmnt-fans/

(One point that is missed a bit - is that at the youth level - the window for the kids is small, and waiting out the US Soccer dysfunction, the way one might wait out a pro sports team's run of poor performance, is not really an option imo.)



View attachment 5638
So many issues. Personally, I would've stuck with Klinsmann. The establishment's dislike of him was, along with his exciting youth program, were reasons to believe he was on the right track.
 
Got a note that the predicts were not for the actual games happening. (thx Vegas!) :eek: apologies. not sure how that got screwed up.

so, here's predicts for the actual 05 games that will be happening this weekend (11/16):;)

SoCal
LAUFA 3 - Albion 2
LAFC 5 - Arsenal 0
LA Galaxy 5 - Pateadores 2

Non-SoCal
Ballistic 2 - De Anza 1
Crossfire Premier 0 - SVSA 1
Crossfire Premier 1 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Sacramento Republic 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - SVSA 1
 
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