2005 DA Standings

I talked to a dad of a kid on that team this weekend and he thinks it's because of the trip to Mexico and winning the CONCACAF tournament. He said that the the intensity hasn't been the same after that. He didn't seem too worried about it, though...
 
I don't think LAFC will start a loosing streak. They have a lot of great players and will do adjustments to get the correct results.
 
I talked to a dad of a kid on that team this weekend and he thinks it's because of the trip to Mexico and winning the CONCACAF tournament. He said that the the intensity hasn't been the same after that. He didn't seem too worried about it, though...
The intensity has not been the same that is for sure.
 
Some Friday evening handicapping for the weekend.

San Diego:
SDSC v Albion: Albion win 4-0
SD Surf v OC Surf: SD Surf win 4-1
Strikers v LAGSD: LAGSD win 1-0

Los Angeles:
LAFC v LAUFA: LAUFA win 2-1
TFA v SBSC: TFA win 4-1
FC Golden State v Legends: Legends win 3-0
Pats v Real SoCal: Real SoCal win 3-1
 
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Some Friday evening handicapping for the weekend.

San Diego:
SDSC v Albion: Albion win 4-0
SD Surf v OC Surf: SD Surf win 4-1
Strikers v LAGSD: LAGSD win 1-0

Los Angeles:
LAFC v LAUFA: LAUFA win 2-1
TFA v SBSC: TFA win 4-1
FC Golden State v Legends: Legends win 3-0
Pats v Real SoCal: Real SoCal win 3-1
Rough handicapping weekend for you so far. Had to figure LAFC was ready to explode. But 9 on a good team? Wow.
 
Rough handicapping weekend for you so far. Had to figure LAFC was ready to explode. But 9 on a good team? Wow.

Yeah. Well. Fair point.

So, here's results vs prediction so far:

LAFC beat LAUFA 9-0 (had LAUFA winning 2-1)
Strikers beat LAGSD 7-1 (had LAGSD winning 1-0)
FC Golden State beat Legends 2-0 (had Legends winning 3-0)
Albion tied SDSC 1-1 (had Albion winning 4-0)
TFA beat Santa Barbara SC 6-0 (had TFA winning 4-1)
SD Surf beat OC Surf 6-0 (had SD Surf winning 4-1)

It will be an interesting season as teams sort themselves out. Here's comments on all games this weekend:
  • From my POV, both LAG and Real Socal (the two teams LAFC has lost to so far this year) got bigger this year, and it directly affected LAFC's ability to do what they are used to doing, particularly in the midfield. LAUFA also lost some significant players from last year, and only beat the Pats 2-1 with the winning goal coming in the last five minutes of the game. Will be interesting to see how TFA does against LAFC and LAG. Should be good games. Their loss 1-4 to LAUFA may have been a fluke, but maybe not.
  • Took the Strikers a couple of games to wake up. One caveat is that they've got a 2004 playing down who is tied for being the leading scorer on the team. Strikers next two games are against OC Surf and the SD Surf. We'll see how that goes.
  • FC Golden State had a tough schedule to start which included LAFC, TFA and LAG as three of their first four games. The Legends seem like they are reasonably good team, so maybe there's something more to FC Golden State than what their first four games showed.
  • Albion tied it up in the last minutes of the game. Good midfield but both defense and offense took a hit with players going to other clubs. Weird result since Albion beat Strikers 1-0 and then Strikers went on to beat SDSC 10-0. Maybe SDSC continues to get better, or maybe they just got a lucky early goal which exposed Albion's increased difficulty creating scoring opportunities in 2018-19.
  • TFA was only up 1-0 at half but came out strong in the 2nd half to run the score up to 6-0. After losing 2-5 the first time against TFA, would have expected more from Santa Barbara SC.
  • SD Surf - playing with a complete front line - officially welcomed OC Surf to DA with a 6-0 win, which included five goals scored in the first half. (The first game, which SD Surf won 5-2, was played with SD Surf missing two of three starting forwards)
All said, key takeaways from this weekend seem to be:

1) LAFC are back but their Achilles heel (playing against similar sized teams) may have been exposed against LAG and especially Real SoCal.

2) In the LA group, TFA is the biggest question mark, are they for real or not? They're playing Real SoCal, LAFC and LAG in their next three DA group matches, so we'll see.

3) The San Diego group has SD Surf, and maybe the Strikers (but maybe not). After that, the other higher level teams from last year have taken a step down due to player attrition (and some lower level teams look like they got a bit better). Will be interesting to see, with SD Surf consolidating talent and only regularly competing in SD, if the SD Surf players continue develop in the coming season and next year.
 
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Revised the algorithm and here's best guess for the weekend. the algo says it's going to be a tough weekend for some of the LA teams.

LA
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-6
FCG v LAUFA: 0-4
TFA v RealSocal: 4-1

SD
OC Surf v Strikers: 1-4
Nomads v Albion: 1-1
Arsenal v SDSC: 2-0
 
Revised the algorithm and here's best guess for the weekend. the algo says it's going to be a tough weekend for some of the LA teams.

LA
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-6
FCG v LAUFA: 0-4
TFA v RealSocal: 4-1

SD
OC Surf v Strikers: 1-4
Nomads v Albion: 1-1
Arsenal v SDSC: 2-0
like your predictions but showing no love for Real SoCAl and OC Surf
I agree with the teams picked to win but the scores I would cut them in half. We'll See
What team does your player play for ? We are with Arsenal
 
Here's results vs predicts so far:

LA predicts:
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-6
FCGS v LAUFA: 1-4
TFA v Real SoCal: 4-1

LA Actuals:
LAG v SBSC: 8-0
Pats v LAFC: 0-4
FGS c LAUFA: 1-1
TFA v Real SoCal: 2-1


SD Predicts:
OC Surf vs Strikers : 1-4
Nomads vs Albion: 1-1
Arsenal v SDSC: 2-0

SD Actuals:
OC Surf v Strikers: 1-6
Nomads v Albion 2-3
Arsenal v SDSC: 0-0


Notes:
  • SBSC had two critical ~10 minute breakdowns against the SoCal DA All-star team, I mean, LA Galaxy, once in the 1H from minute 25 to minute 34 for three goals by LAG, and again in the 2H from minute 50 to minute 58 for another three goals by LAG .
  • Pats held mostly strong through the 1H going into halftime 0-1, but broke allowed another three goals in the 2H by LAFC from minute 60 to minute 70.
  • Looks like it was a solid match-up between FGS and LAUFA. FGS gave up an early goal to LAUFA but came back to tie it up before the half, and then 2H played to a draw.
  • TFA had early two early goals on Real SoCal and had another goal thwarted by a foul by the Real SoCal goalie at the 48th minute (goalie was given a red card for denying an obvious goal scoring opportunity). Real SoCal held up for rest of 2H and got one back late.
  • OC Surf held in there for the 1H but couldn't maintain in the 2H
  • Albion and Nomads was back and forth with Albion getting a late goal in the last five minutes for the win
 
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