2005 DA Standings

Final from UC Riverside
FCGS - 2
Pats - 0
Truthfully it was a pretty sloppy game for FCGS. 1st goal was caused by a bad play by the Pats goalie. He lost the ball on a play back from his defender. 2nd goal was a good from the left side of the field. Plus 2 shots off the crossbar. Practice should be interesting this week.

Pats came with only 12 players and FCGS had at least 2 out sick ( a forward and a goalie ).

As for the weather, it was wet and cold of course. The turf field was slippery. No down pour but there was light rain on and off during the match.

Now to dry up and get ready for The Super Bowl.
I get The Pats roster part but doesn’t GSA
Have about 25 players? How many have left ?
 
Per the game report, Surf had a several players out but Arsenal also had a couple of key players out as well. Any particular reason the boys were out? The SD identification center is coming up but is on 2/20.
SD players surf I was told the reason by a parent from there but is not my place to share it
As for Arsenal from the official roster 2 players are no longer with the team and my younger son was given the chance to play down this game.
 
SD players surf I was told the reason by a parent from there but is not my place to share it
As for Arsenal from the official roster 2 players are no longer with the team and my younger son was given the chance to play down this game.
Got it. Thx. Hope nothing bad. Good for your son.
 
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I get The Pats roster part but doesn’t GSA
Have about 25 players? How many have left ?
Per the game reports, FCG has 25 2005s listed as part of the team but I think teams can only roster a max of 18 players as active for a game.

So for any given game, the coach may be only rostering what he believes to be the 18 best/18 who earned it that week. Would defer to the FCG folks for more info as to what's going on.

Their coach seems to be consistently rotating players and only two FCG players have been rostered for all the last 6 games.

There are four players who have not been rostered for the first 3 games of 2019. Don't know the "why" behind this and would again, defer to FCG folks for more info/color. Maybe they dropped, maybe it's just their turn not to be rostered.
 
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here predicts vs actuals for the last weekend. Sounds like a wet weekend everywhere made for interesting games w/ some uncharacteristic play.

Los Angeles
Predict: FCG 3 v Pats 1. Actuals: FC 2 v Pats 0. RedCard provided some good commentary above on the match. Would love to hear more color on how FCG is managing the roster on game day. Seems to be effective and maybe a best practice for other teams.

Predict: Real SoCal 1 v TFA 3. Actuals: Real SoCal 1 v TFA 1. TFA has been having a tough time on both sides of the ball since they beat LAG in early November. More on that in a different post. Real SoCal picked it up a bit, scoring their first goal in four games and keeping TFA's offense in check. Will see if this correction is a trend or an outlier next weekend when they play FCG.

LAFC and Santa Barbara SC was postponed.

San Diego
Predict: Albion 2 v OC Surf 2. Actuals: Albion 2 v OC Surf 2.


Predict: Arsenal 1 v SD Surf 2. Actuals: Arsenal 0 v SD Surf 3. per 66GTO, two Arsenal players are no longer with the team. Looking at the stats though, the gap should not have affected the match outcome. On the SD Surf side, per the game report, ten 2005 players were out with four 2006s filling in. Hoping the SD Surf 2005s were out for a good news reason (any more color on this? bueller?). SD Surf still had several of their key core players and, in a wet game, that was enough to keep Arsenal under control and put in three goals (two from a 2006). Thanks 66GTO and PIRLO for comments. And kudos to the SD Surf for playing boys up.

Predict: LAGSD 3 v Nomads 1. Actuals: LAGSD 2 v Nomads 1. So last week, listed SD Surf, Strikers and Arsenal the top three SD teams. After looking at the stats more carefully, apologies are due to LAGSD. LAGSD is definitely in the top 3. This is particularly striking since their 2017-18 roster was poached so heavily pre-season by LAG and a couple of other SD area teams. Nice work. Should be an interesting match w/ Arsenal this weekend.





 
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here's predicts for this weekend. home team is listed first. 1st, weather will be brisk but should be waaaaaay better than last week. 2nd, a number of teams are now playing each other for the second time and it will be interesting to see which teams improved and how teams, now that they are more familiar with each other, generally will do.

SD
Arsenal 1 v LAGSD 2. Will likely be the best match in SD this weekend. Algo had this at a 1-1 tie, but given trends, particularly LAGSD getting better scoring goals, LAGSD for the win.

OC Surf 2 v. SDSC 1. This one is what it is.

Nomads 2 v. Albion 1. An interesting match. Nomads are better this year than last, and Albion lost some significant players to the SD Surf, and net net, both teams are pretty even this year. with no big improvements - but also no big declines - over time. There is home/away effect that will benefit the Nomads so that's the call. FYI, Algo gives the slight edge to the Nomads but has the result at a 2-2 tie


LA
LAG 2 v. TFA 1. Both teams are nationally ranked by Top Drawer, and TFA was the first team to put an L on LAG this year plus 3-4 LAG players were suspended last weekend and will/should be looking to get back to it.

However, both teams have been performing progressively worse over the course of the season. Both LAG's goal scoring and defending are getting consistently worse over time. On the other side of the field, something changed with TFA after their win against LAG in mid-November with both their goal scoring and defending taking a nose dive after that point in time. To be fair to LAG, they have had three key 05 players consistently playing up with the u15 team, and that may have contributed to the decline in performance, (and good on them for playing kids up rather than being focused on padding their win/loss sheet)

Last item is that LAG ... have to be careful not overstate here ... is horrible away from Carson. here's the stats: LAG is +5.1 goal differential at home, and -.2 goal differential away.

Trending out and allowing for the LAG away effect (TFA has also a home/away effect but not as pronounced), the score could be LAG 1 v. TFA 4.

But, LAG probably pulls it out. Will be fascinated to hear how it goes.

LAFC 3 v. Legends 0. Last match result was LAFC 1 v. Legends 0. Legends are solid, particularly on D, and a good physical match-up for LAFC but LAFC is better. Familiarity probably doesn't help the Legends here (but does help LAFC), and will be interesting to see how LAFC center mid does against Legends d-mid.

LAUFA 4 v. Pats 1. Both teams are having some organizational challenges. Pats fielded just 12 players last week while LAUFA is churning through players with another player officially leaving to go back to RSC recently. Stats say LAUFA wins it but it depends who they're able to put on the field.

RSC 0 v FCG 1. FCG has been improving significantly over time this season and has the size to make Real SoCal work. RSC, on the other hand, had been having some issues and was showing a declining trend over time in performance on both sides of the ball.

Algo has this as a defensive-minded 1-1 tie with a slight edge to FCG, but am thinking that FCG has the forward size to give RSC a tougher time than a tie, and RSC doesn't seem to have the offense to get it back going the other way. RSC may just park the bus to get the point but FCG probably wears them out.
 
here's predicts for this weekend. home team is listed first. 1st, weather will be brisk but should be waaaaaay better than last week.
RSC 0 v FCG 1.

Final score from Ventura County
RSC - 1
FCGS - 0

Real SoCal score off a free kick about 20 yards out just inside the far post. FCGS players were saying it was an own goal going off the back of one of the defender’s head.Doesn’t matter as a goal is a goal.

Weather was a huge factor as there was a heavy down pour for most of the game and the wind didn’t help either team but both teams were able to tough it out.
 
Here's predicts vs actuals from this weekend (2/9 & 2/10). Had a lot of the scores correct but going the wrong way. Some close matches, still some winter break rust plus weather was a factor in some matches. There's enough games now to take more systematically look at how home vs away affects results and to look at trends. predicts should be better next weekend.

SD

Predict: Arsenal 1 v LAGSD 2. Actuals: Arsenal 2 v LAGSD 1. Thx 66GTO for early results! Good win by Arsenal and they came back from being down 0-1. Per the game report, LAGSD looks like they missing 5 players who they normally roster. Is this typical? This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: OC Surf 2 v. SDSC 1. Actuals: OC Surf 1 v. SDSC 1. Per the game report, SDSC tied it up at the end. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: Nomads 2 v. Albion 1. Actuals: Nomads 1 v. Albion 2. Thx justneedaname for early results! Per the game report, Albion got out to an early lead and held for the win.


LA
Predict: LAG 2 v. TFA 1. Actuals: LAG 4 v. TFA 2. Per the game report, LAG brought the full squad and intensity (3 yellows), and one of the players who had to sit out after breaking curfew at the US training camp went for a hat trick, including a goal at the beginning of the game. TFA also brought the intensity with three yellow cards as well. However, they were playing from behind the whole match which was probably tough. This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: LAFC 3 v. Legends 0. Actuals: LAFC 2 v. Legends 1. Per the game report, Legends got one early from their 2004 player (March '04 birthday) who is also the Legends leading scorer (he shows up on the game report but not their USSDA roster). LAFC rallied in the second half for for the win, were missing two key players and rostered three '06s. This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: LAUFA 4 v. Pats 1. Actuals: LAUFA 4 v. Pats 3. Pats match up well with LAUFA (last match was 1-2), and a solid performance. First half was tight with the score 0-0, and then opened up in the second half. This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: RSC 0 v FCG 1. Actuals: RSC 1 v FCG 0. Here's commentary from RedCard (thx!): "Real SoCal score off a free kick about 20 yards out just inside the far post. FCGS players were saying it was an own goal going off the back of one of the defender’s head. Doesn’t matter as a goal is a goal. Weather was a huge factor as there was a heavy down pour for most of the game and the wind didn’t help either team but both teams were able to tough it out."
 
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Predict: RSC 0 v FCG 1. Actuals: RSC 0 v FCG 1. Here's commentary from RedCard (thx!): "Real SoCal score off a free kick about 20 yards out just inside the far post. FCGS players were saying it was an own goal going off the back of one of the defender’s head. Doesn’t matter as a goal is a goal. Weather was a huge factor as there was a heavy down pour for most of the game and the wind didn’t help either team but both teams were able to tough it out."

I think the score is wrong here ‍♂️
 
Here's predicts vs actuals from this weekend (2/9 & 2/10). Had a lot of the scores correct but going the wrong way. Some close matches, still some winter break rust plus weather was a factor in some matches. There's enough games now to take more systematically look at how home vs away affects results and to look at trends. predicts should be better next weekend.

SD

Predict: Arsenal 1 v LAGSD 2. Actuals: Arsenal 2 v LAGSD 1. Thx 66GTO for early results! Good win by Arsenal and they came back from being down 0-1. Per the game report, LAGSD looks like they missing 5 players who they normally roster. Is this typical? This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: OC Surf 2 v. SDSC 1. Actuals: OC Surf 1 v. SDSC 1. Per the game report, SDSC tied it up at the end. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: Nomads 2 v. Albion 1. Actuals: Nomads 1 v. Albion 2. Thx justneedaname for early results! Per the game report, Albion got out to an early lead and held for the win.


LA
Predict: LAG 2 v. TFA 1. Actuals: LAG 4 v. TFA 2. Per the game report, LAG brought the full squad and intensity (3 yellows), and one of the players who had to sit out after breaking curfew at the US training camp went for a hat trick, including a goal at the beginning of the game. TFA also brought the intensity with three yellow cards as well. However, they were playing from behind the whole match which was probably tough. This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: LAFC 3 v. Legends 0. Actuals: LAFC 2 v. Legends 1. Per the game report, Legends got one early from their 2004 player (March '04 birthday) who is also the Legends leading scorer (he shows up on the game report but not their USSDA roster). LAFC rallied in the second half for for the win, were missing two key players and rostered three '06s. This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: LAUFA 4 v. Pats 1. Actuals: LAUFA 4 v. Pats 3. Pats match up well with LAUFA (last match was 1-2), and a solid performance. First half was tight with the score 0-0, and then opened up in the second half. This match looks like it was interesting. Does anyone have more commentary?

Predict: RSC 0 v FCG 1. Actuals: RSC 1 v FCG 0. Here's commentary from RedCard (thx!): "Real SoCal score off a free kick about 20 yards out just inside the far post. FCGS players were saying it was an own goal going off the back of one of the defender’s head. Doesn’t matter as a goal is a goal. Weather was a huge factor as there was a heavy down pour for most of the game and the wind didn’t help either team but both teams were able to tough it out."


Curious how you have access to kid’s birthdays? The public game report made available after each game does not include birthdays, only birth year. (Ex, pointing out that the Legends players has a March 04 birthday).

As far as I know, only the match report the referee sees has actual birthdays.

Just curious.
 
here's predicts for this weekend. some interesting match-ups, particularly in the LA group. btw, the goal of this info is to provide families, coaches and clubs a baseline against which to evaluate development, rather than just focusing on did we win or lose.

A lot of folks will say after a game, "Well, we lost but did better this time," or "We won but didn't play very well." These predicts are intended to help take that mindset a step further, so that folks can say, we were projected to do "x" and we did "y" instead. Why was that? Did we make forward progress this weekend or not?

Good luck to everyone this weekend. Home teams are listed first. Should be good soccer weather (finally). fyi, have started to improvement/decline trends and home/away advantages. will see if this helps w/ accuracy or not.

San Diego
LAGSD 1 vs Strikers 3. Last time these teams played, Strikers won 7-1. Since then, a couple of Strikers' players are playing up w/ u15 and the Strikers seem to be focusing on D a bit more. Having said that, LAGSD has been trending worse defensively, so score could be closer to 5-1.

Nomads 2 vs. Albion 2
SDSC 0 vs. Arsenal 2


Los Angeles
Pats 2 vs. TFA 5. Last time these teams played, Pats lost 0-10. Since then, TFA has trended worse on both sides of the ball as the season has worn on. Plus, seems like there may have been a "come to Jesus" moment around the end of November with the Pats which has started to generate more competitive results. Too early to tell if this trend will hold.

FC Golden State 3 vs. LAUFA 1. These teams have two of the strongest home/away effects in the group, and have been really interesting to watch over the season. FCG has had a steady improvement on both sides of the ball since the beginning of the season, while LAUFA has been struggling to maintain their status as a top LA team since LAG poached a significant number of LAUFA players before the season started. The algo says the result will be FCG 1 vs LAUFA 2, but given FCG's improvement and LAUFA having to play away, am going w/ FCG 3 vs. LAUFA 1. Last time these teams played it was 1-1 w/ LAUFA playing at home.

Real SoCal 0 vs. Legends 1. Both teams rely on size, and score on counters. Re: home/away, the Legends tend to travel well. In terms of trends, RSC has been having some challenges on both sides of the ball, and the weakness in their midfield (only one dynamic mid w/ good, independent decision-making) is starting to show. Last time these teams met, the score was 0-1 Legends. Looking for the same this weekend unless Legends get an early score and then decide to stretch their legs a bit. If that happens score could be closer to 3-1 Legends.

Santa Barbara SC 1 vs. LA Galaxy 6. Some interesting trends and home/away. LA Galaxy had been trending the wrong way on both sides of the ball, and particularly not played well away. But both items may be turning around. LAG broke their home/away trend line vs TFA on Feb 9th. Plus, a number of LAG players who were called up to the Western Regional Training Camp had to sit out in the recent match against FCG due to breaking training camp curfew. One of those players who had to sit went then for a hat trick against TFA.

Santa Barbara may have hit rock bottom when they did not field a full team against FCG in their 0-10 loss, but then beat RSC 3-0 the next match out. Plus Santa Barbara looks like they play better at home than away. Handicapping with all the different trends puts the score closer to 4-2 LAG. Will be an interesting result to watch. Last time these teams played it was 8-0 LAG.


 
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Looks like TFA v FCGS just got cancelled. The game was scheduled for 6:30pm in San Bernardino then moved to 7:30pm due to all the rescheduling of the State Cup (3 weekends lost due to rain).
 
Looks like TFA v FCGS just got cancelled. The game was scheduled for 6:30pm in San Bernardino then moved to 7:30pm due to all the rescheduling of the State Cup (3 weekends lost due to rain).

My mistake - it was LAUFA vs FCGS that was cancelled.
 
here's predicts vs actual for this weekend (2/23/ & 2/24).

San Diego
Predict: LAGSD 1 vs Strikers 3. Actuals: LAGSD 0 vs Strikers 5. Seems like the Strikers match up well against LAGSD. Last match the score was 7-1 Strikers.

Nomads 2 vs. Albion 2. Rescheduled.

SDSC 0 vs. Arsenal 2. Actuals: SDSC 0 vs. Arsenal 2

Los Angeles
Predict: Pats 2 vs. TFA 5. Actuals: Pats 1 vs TFA 3. Last time these teams played, Pats lost 0-10. Some improvement by the Pats plus TFA regressing to the mean. Anyone have more color on this one?

FC Golden State 3 vs. LAUFA 1. Rescheduled.

Predict: Real SoCal 0 vs. Legends 1. Actuals: Real So Cal 0 vs Legends 1. Per the game report, Legends scored late at the 68th minute. Same result as last time these two teams played. Anyone have more color on this one?

Predict: Santa Barbara SC 1 vs. LA Galaxy 6. Actuals: Santa Barbara SC 0 vs LAG 4. After handicapping w/ trends and home/away effects, had thought the score might be closer to 4-2 LAG despite what the algo said. Anyone have more color on this one?
 
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here's predicts for this weekend. home team is listed first.

Los Angeles
Real So Cal 0 vs LAFC 2. LAFC has been having relative challenges scoring goals all season, and particularly in the last two games, plus RSC always matches up well w/ LAFC. Will be interesting to see if LAFC can start to return to last year's quality.

Legends 2 vs. FCG 1 *game to watch* FCG has had some funky games in 2019, but are still definitely one of the top candidates for most improved since the beginning of the season. on the flip side, Legends are big and defend solidly. Both teams match up well with each other. Since the game is away for FCG (they also have a strong home field advantage effect), am tipping it to Legends. This will be a statement game for FCG. Last match, it was 2-0 FCG.

LA Galaxy 7 vs. Pateadores 0 *could be a good opportunity for LAG to play some 06s up and do some development*

Santa Barbara SC 2 vs. LAUFA 4

San Diego
LAGSD 3 vs. Albion 1
SD Surf 6 vs. SDSC 0 *could be a good opportunity for SD Surf to play some 06s up and do some development*
Strikers 4 vs Nomads 1.
OC Surf 1 vs. Arsenal 2
 
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