2004 Boys, games of the week, standings, etc.

here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend (4/13 & 4/14). home team is listed first.

predict: Barca 3 vs Silicon Valley SA 2. Actuals: Barca 1 vs Silicon Valley SA 3 note: surprised by this result. anyone have commentary?

predict: Nomads 1 vs FC Golden State 1. Actuals: Nomads 1 vs FC Golden State 1. had this one as a match to watch, and per the game report, it looked like it did not disappoint. FCG got one at the 3rd minute and Nomads came right back with one to tie at the 5th minute. Tied 1-1 at half time. Nomads went ahead 2-1 at the 62nd minute, and things started to get chippy at the 70th minute with two yellows (one for each team). FCG went ahead with two quick ones at the 72nd and 74th minutes. One more yellow for FCG at the 75th minute, and then Nomads tied it right at the end for a 3-3 final result.

predict: Albion 3 vs SD Surf 2. Actuals: Albion 3 vs SD Surf 1

predict: LAGSD 1 vs Real SoCal 2. Actuals: LAGSD 3 vs Real SoCal 8. note: Whoa! Per the game report, looks like it was a very competitive first half. LAGSD scored first, but RSC got two quick ones to go ahead 2-1. LAGSD tied it up 2-2 right after. All in the first 15 minutes... LAGSD got a PK to go ahead 3-2 at the 24th minute but RSC tied it right before half for 3-3.

2nd half was a completely different story with RSC scoring five unanswered goals. Only thing that's apparent from the game report is that LAGSD subbed two players out at the beginning of the 2nd half.... Anyone have more commentary on this one?

predict: Barca 4 vs. Arsenal 2. Actuals: pending

predict: Strikers 5 vs Pateadores 1. Actuals: Strikers 3 vs Pateadores 1
 
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here's predicts for this weekend. as an fyi, schedule has changed and will be posting predicts on Friday morning-ish thru rest of season. home team is listed first.

SD Surf 7 vs Barca 1
LAGSD 1 vs FC Golden State 6
Strikers 6 vs Arsenal 1
LAUFA 2 vs Albion 1
Real SoCal 2 vs Pateadores 1
 
here's predicts for this weekend. as an fyi, schedule has changed and will be posting predicts on Friday morning-ish thru rest of season. home team is listed first.

SD Surf 7 vs Barca 1
LAGSD 1 vs FC Golden State 6
Strikers 6 vs Arsenal 1
LAUFA 2 vs Albion 1
Real SoCal 2 vs Pateadores 1

LAGSD 1 vs FCGS 8 (lone LAGSD goal was GS own goal)
SD Surf 3 vs Barca 1
Real Socal 3 vs Pateadores 1
 
Here's predict vs actuals. Thanks bigkick for early results! Home team is listed first.

predict: SD Surf 7 vs Barca 1. Actual: SD Surf 3 vs Barca 1
predict: LAGSD 1 vs FC Golden State 6. Actual: LAGSD 1 vs FCG 8
predict: Strikers 6 vs Arsenal 1. Actual: Strikers 3 vs Arsenal 0
predict: LAUFA 2 vs Albion 1. Actual: LAUFA 2 vs Albion 1
predict: Real SoCal 2 vs Pateadores 1. Actual: Real SoCal 3 vs Pateadores 1


 
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here's predicts for this weekend. home teams are listed first.

LA Galaxy 1 vs Strikers 1 *match to watch*

The Strikers have been the better team in 2018-19, sitting at 2nd in the standings for a strong Southwest Group, and just south of a wild card play-off spot. A reasonable case can be made that, if VV - who is now averaging just over a goal a game for LAG - had stayed with the Strikers, the Strikers likely go to the u15 play-offs.

By way of background, LAG recruited one of the Strikers top goal scorers - VV - last year over to LAG for the 2018-19 season. Likely, as a result of moving to LAG, VV was called up to the Jan u15 28 player camp, but did not make it to the 19 player u15 squad that just finished 3rd in their group at the Torneo delle Nazioni.


LAG is at #5 in the standings, and if not for VV's goals, would be at closer to #8.

Last time these two teams met, it was 2-0 Strikers. Will be an interesting match to watch this time out.

Nomads 3 vs SD Surf 3 *match to watch*

Nomads have improved significantly on the goal scoring side in the last several games but the improvement has been against some of the weaker Southwest teams and against Northwest teams, and has been, as sometimes happens with goal scoring improvements, at the cost of giving up more goals. SD Surf also has been getting stronger offensively.

Should be a fun, end of season match to watch. Last time these two teams met, it was 1-0 Nomads.

Albion 1 vs LAFC 3

LAUFA 3 vs Barca 2

Pats 1 vs FC Golden State 3

Real SoCal 2 vs Arsenal 1
 
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LAG 2 vs. Strikers 1.

Really tough, competitive game. Strikers were really good in stretches, could’ve scored a couple more. Galaxy hit woodwork twice. A draw would’ve been a fair result.
 
here's predicts vs actuals for this weekend. home teams are listed first.

predict: LA Galaxy 1 vs Strikers 1 actuals: LA Galaxy 2 vs Strikers 1
note: this one was a *match to watch* and it sounds like it didn't disappoint. here's commentary from SBFdad (thx!):


"Really tough, competitive game. Strikers were really good in stretches, could’ve scored a couple more. Galaxy hit woodwork twice. A draw would’ve been a fair result."

Per the game report, score was 0-0 at half, and VV put LAG ahead initially with a goal at the 65th minute. Strikers tied it five minutes later but LAG went ahead again for the win at the 72nd minute. Three yellows over the course of the match.

Both teams played a couple of 05s up.


predict: Nomads 3 vs SD Surf 3. actuals: Nomads 0 vs SD Surf 1
note: this one was a *match to watch*, and it looks like solid match with the SD Surf scoring the ultimate game winner right before the 1st half ended. unfortunately, it was also one of those games where the game report doesn't really tell a story. Anyone have additional commentary on the match?

predict: Albion 1 vs LAFC 3 actuals: Albion 1 vs LAFC 3
note: per the game report, LAFC rostered a large number of 05s who played about 80% of the total minutes. what's interesting here is that the result was fairly close to the prediction which assumed that LAFC 04s play Albion 04s. So, one, good on LAFC for playing 05s up and putting development first. Two, the LAFC 05s, in relative terms, may be even better than the LAFC 04s. Will be interesting to see how many LAFC 05s get called into the upcoming USYNT June 4th camp.

LAFC 04 FG went for a brace.


predict: LAUFA 3 vs Barca 2. actuals: LAUFA 2 vs Barca 4

predict: Pats 1 vs FC Golden State 3 actuals: Pats 2 vs FC Golden State 2

predict: Real SoCal 2 vs Arsenal 1 actuals: Real SoCal 2 vs Arsenal 1
 
here's predicts for this weekend (5/12 & 5/13). home teams are listed first.

but first, a quick word on TopDrawer Rankings. the u16 thru u18 rankings for May were just released and the u13 thru u15 rankings will be out next week. get that TD's rankings are subjective and am sure that teams are over being left out of the ranking at this point in the season but the ranking - in lieu of other criteria - does affect college interest in players .

so, if anyone knows folks at TD, maybe plant a seed for TD to look at their u15 numbers before they publish. Looking at the data, the Strikers, LA Galaxy, SD Surf and De Anza should all be in TopDrawer's Top 25 along with the current Top 25 from socal and norcal.

predict: Barca 1 vs Strikers 3 note: Barca is hard to predict, with performances often varying from expected. not sure if it's the travel, or if line-ups vary significantly game to game. so that's the disclaimer for this one. will take a deeper dive over the summer to figure this out.

predict: Albion 2 vs Nomads 1

predict: LA Galaxy 2 vs SD Surf 1 *match to watch* SD Surf just beat the Nomads and tied FCG, and LAG just beat the Strikers and beat FCG, so this match is a great measure of who is next best - after LAFC - in SoCal. LAG has one of the best defenses in the country at this point of the season with six shutouts in their last nine games and an offense that has perked up in the same time period. And SD Surf is solid on both sides of the ball as well.

predict: Pateadores 1 vs LAFC 3 *match to watch* last time these teams met, it was 4-1 LAFC. Pats have improved since while LAFC has plateaued from a data pov, granted this has happened at the same time they've also taken steps to play youngers up an age (eg, vs Albion last week w/ LAFC 05s playing about 80% of the available field player minutes). Pats are playing at home and a decent home field advantage effect. Pats are clear underdogs but they have a shot at making things interesting.


predict: LAUFA 3 vs Breakers 1 note: socal vs norcal are difficult to predict given the overall difference in the quality across teams in each group. over the summer, will figure out a way to systematically discount/premium team ratings based on group quality but in the meantime am just going to post a disclaimer

predict: LAGSD 1 vs De Anza note: see above disclaimer

predict: LAGSD 2 vs Breakers 3 note: see above disclaimer

predict: FC Golden State 4 vs Arsenal 1

predict: LAUFA 2 vs De Anza 1 note: see above disclaimer
 
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LAG 2-2 Surf

Good match this morning. Pretty physical. Galaxy were better in the first half. Surf better in the second half. Fair result.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (5/18 & 5/19). home team is listed first.

Barca 1 vs Nomads 3

Albion 5 vs LAGSD 1

SD Surf 3 vs Real SoCal 1

Strikers 6 vs LAUFA 1 note: normally would say that this might be a match where the Strikers could play some 05s up but the 05 Strikers are playing the 05 SD Surf, so that's not likely to happen.

LAFC 2 vs LA Galaxy 1 *match to watch* here's link to the extended version of how this match is likely to go - http://www.socalsoccer.com/threads/...ico-de-academia-parte-tres.17350/#post-264822


Real SoCal 3 vs LAGSD 1

FC Golden State 5 vs LAUFA 1
 
LAFC 1-0 LAG

Excellent match. Both sides had great moments. LAG played with 10 men most of the game. Red card early in the 1st half. Admirable effort considering.
 
LAFC 1-0 LAG

Excellent match. Both sides had great moments. LAG played with 10 men most of the game. Red card early in the 1st half. Admirable effort considering.
agreed. saw the 1st half and about 20 minutes of the 2nd half. LAG showed a lot of heart and gave LAFC a game despite being a man down.

Thought the straight red card was questionable since I don't think it was the intent of #25 to catch #4 in the chin. Saw most of what happened but the ref had a very good view too and it was a blow to the head so...

Was particularly impressed with the LAG goalie, and LAG's #19 and #10 play up top at the beginning of the 2nd half. Thought #33 also handled himself well, and that #10 did good job of working - in the first half - to involve all of LAG, but got tired and devolved a bit later in the 2nd half.

Was surprised by how direct LAFC was most of the game.
 
here's predicts for this weekend (6/1 & 6/2). home team is listed first. (edited Friday evening)

Barca 4 vs LAGSD 1
Albion 1 vs FCG 2
LAFC 3 vs Nomads 1
LAUFA 2 vs LAG 3
SD Surf 3 vs Pats 2
Real SoCal 1 vs Strikers 4
 
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here's predicts for this weekend (6/1 & 6/2). home team is listed first. (edited Friday evening)

Barca 4 vs LAGSD 1
Albion 1 vs FCG 2
LAFC 3 vs Nomads 1
LAUFA 2 vs LAG 3
SD Surf 3 vs Pats 2
Real SoCal 1 vs Strikers 4

Albion 0 - 1 FCGSA Final
 
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